By 2031, the production of processed apples is projected to increase in France, Italy and Poland, ranging from 0.5% to 1.2% per year. In Hungary, the production is projected to slightly increase (by 0.2% per year).
By contrast, the production in Germany could fall to 236 000 t by 2031, a decline of almost 2% per year compared to 2020. In other EU producing countries, the volumes delivered by the apple processing industry are expected to decline to 150 000 t in 2031.
Furthermore, the supply of apples to the processing industry could become more volatile due to the impact of adverse weather conditions.
Negative prospects on the demand side
Per capita consumption of apples in processed form (e.g. juices, compotes) is projected to decline in France, Germany, Italy and Poland. Opposite dynamics are expected in Hungary with an annual growth of 2.1%. On the demand side, the main reason behind the projected decline are the maturity of the market which makes the ‘traditional’ product less attractive for consumers, as well as the health concerns related to the high sugar content of certain products.
Trade: a continuation of the recent past
In general terms, the main EU producing countries are due to maintain their current net trade position. In particular, net imports are projected to decline in France and Germany, registering average annual declines of around 2 to 3%. However, for Italy, Poland and Hungary, net exports are projected to increase by 2031. The largest increase is expected in Poland (around 2% per year).
For more information: ec.europa.eu