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AU: Aldi supermarket chain reaches ‘critical mass’

It's good news for consumers, but bad news for the supermarket duopoly. German discount chain Aldi has just reached “critical mass” in Australia, a new report says. According to global banking giant Morgan Stanley, the point of critical mass is 350 stores and $A4.03 billion in sales. “This is the point when private label scale is achieved, which is critical for discounters’ buying terms,” the authors write.

The report quotes senior Aldi executives who argue that while discounters initially struggle as country-by-country tastes differ and building scale takes time, “once the discounter reaches critical mass there is no stopping it”.

Much like Australia is now seeing, the UK supermarket industry had a golden run dominated by the likes of Tesco and Sainsbury’s. Australia is a “golden opportunity as there are no hard discounters”, the executive says.

“The Aldi format works best when there is a 20 per cent-plus differential in pricing to national brands at the full-line supermarkets. At this point consumers are prepared to trade off choice for price,” write the report’s authors. “Given the high fixed cost nature of supermarkets, if [Woolworths, Wesfarmers and Metcash] volumes decline, margins would decline rapidly too.”

It adds that Aldi’s cost-to-sales ratio is two thirds that of the major supermarkets and works better in countries with high labour cost like Australia.

Click here for the full article from news.com.au.
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