In late June, a cold wave affected citrus-growing regions in Brazil, with frosts reported on June 26 in São Paulo, Paraná, and parts of Minas Gerais. While the impacted areas were limited, growers are still assessing the extent of damage. According to Cepea, there is particular concern for Tahiti limes, as the low temperatures may affect fruit color amid an already limited supply. Ponkan tangerines could also experience accelerated fruit drop and discoloration due to the frost.
In the fresh fruit market, orange prices declined with the approach of the new crop and a rise in early fruit availability. Between June 23–27, pear oranges averaged around US$11.07 per 40.8-kg box, reflecting a 4.1% decrease. Tahiti limes averaged US$7.35 per 27.2-kg box, down 1.9% during the same period.
In the U.S., the USDA's June forecast for Florida's 2024/25 orange crop projects 12 million 40.8-kg boxes, an increase of 370,000 boxes from May's estimate, but still 33.5% lower than the 2023/24 season.
Brazil's orange juice exports for the 2024/25 season (July 2024–May 2025) are significantly lower, totaling 730,948 tons, 22.4% less than the same period a year earlier, according to Comexstat. During the first 11 months of the previous season, exports had approached 1 million tons. Export volumes have been constrained by declining fruit quality and high prices.
Despite lower volumes, export revenue increased due to high commodity prices early in the season. Total revenue reached US$3.285 billion, a 33.1% increase compared to the same period in the 2023/24 season.
Source: CEPEA