In the apples and oranges markets, no Covid-19-related production impacts are expected in the current marketing year. Demand for less perishable fruits like apples and oranges is strong.
While the estimated EU production of apples in the current marketing year 2019/2020 is 10% below its past 5-year average (10.8 million t), EU demand for fresh apples is expected to be above average (+9%), thanks to higher retail sales driven by increased domestic consumption. The expected decrease in imports of perishable tropical fruits due to the Covid-19 crisis air cargo transport limitations are likely to drive rising demand for EU fruit, including apples.
Apparent EU consumption for processed products is expected to decline, following last year’s increase of stocks and lower demand due to Covid-19 measures (e.g. apple compote given to schoolchildren and cider served in foodservice).
During the first 6 months of 2019/2020, EU exports of fresh apples were 5% above the same period in previous year’s record harvest year. However, exports are expected to fall by the end of the marketing year (-34% compared to the last 5-year average) due to increased EU demand, lower production, and the difficulties to reach some export markets (e.g. India) due to the Covid-19 crisis.
EU exports of processed apples are expected to increase compared to the last 5-year average (+14%) driven by high stocks but will be lower (-19%) than last year’s record.