As regards Germany, estimates talk about 10.2 million tons, with 0.5% less of scheduled crops and yields below average. Citterio stresses that "these data are theoretical, especially since only 30% of the produce has been harvested in Northern Europe."
What is certain is that spring was cold and humid, so plants initially developed more tubers. Then, however, the heat compromised the yields. This happened in France, the Netherlands and Belgium. The situation was slightly better in Germany - yields are only slightly below average in northern Germany and nothing should change in Bavaria.
"What is weird is the difference in prices between France and Germany. At the moment, in fact, French potatoes cost double their German counterparts."
For the Italian market, it all depends on demand, as usual. In June and July, excessive quantities were exported to France and the Netherlands, which also meant prices were reasonable for producers. Domenico Citterio reports that, at the moment, there is less produce stored in warehouses in northern Italy, so prices should be good. We must say, though, that demand was slow in August because temperatures were sill high.
"The situation is looking positive, but it wouldn't be the first time that estimates were wrong. We will have to see what happens and wait until mid-November for a more accurate assessment."