As the potato harvest approaches, industry stakeholders assess the impact of recent weather on crop yields. In Scotland, conditions have been favorable, predicting average or above-average yields. However, the outlook in England is less certain. The prolonged hot and dry weather means English growers' outcomes will hinge on irrigation capabilities, according to market sources. If yields and quality are compromised, expectations of a supply surplus might be moderated, sources say.
In the UK and Europe, potato prices have dropped due to high stock levels, reduced consumption, and limited free-buy purchasing. Many buyers have contracts covering their needs. Prices contrast sharply with the previous year's figures, when tight supply drove prices up. The Expana Benchmark Price (EBP) for English white packing potatoes was £90/mt as of July 15, marking a 67% decrease quarter-on-quarter and an 88% decrease year-on-year. The EBP for Dutch processing potatoes was €6/100kg, down 70% q-o-q and 90% y-o-y.
European sources have noted quality deterioration recently, especially in low-rainfall areas. Early planting has led to some crops aging prematurely.
While data on UK planted area for 2025 is unavailable, EU potato area increased by 5.5% y-o-y, suggesting potential for a larger harvest. Despite cautious predictions, some anticipate continued high supply. It's unclear if rainfall shortages will impact supply levels and prices.
Source: Mintec/Expana
