The season of pears is about to enter a new period of production. Looking at the bagging volume, the production of the new season Huangguan pear production reduced by about 25% to 30%, But due to the high price of inventory pears, farmers' enthusiasm for managing the production process is improved. As there was no extreme disaster during the growth period, the overall size of pears is large. This hedged the expectation of a reduction in bagging volume. The pear production was reduced by about 20% overall. However, the quality of pears is relatively good. As the weather is less extreme, there are relatively limited damages from pests and diseases. Actually, the quality will be the best in the past three years.
The price of pears in the new season will start at a high level and then reduce mainly because the current closing price of cold-storage pear is high. The closing price of the 42# Huangguan pear is about 150 yuan/box. The starting price and the closing price of cold storage fruits show a continuous linkage.
Some export enterprises have some overlapped orders in July, and the import and export enterprises' enthusiasm for purchase is higher in July. The starting price of Huangguan pears is expected to be 10 ~ 14 yuan/kg, and it will be listed with a large number from July 20 to early August. The price will fall to 5.2 ~ 9.2 yuan/kg. The average price of storage pears is about 25% higher than last year. The current enthusiasm for purchase is not very high in the circulation links. It is expected that the production and sales will both thrive by July 20 because of the joint demand from the domestic market, foreign market, and cold storage.
The closing price of cold storage Ya pears, snowflake pears and Huangguan pears was very high last year, all breaking through the mark of 100 yuan. The Indonesian market had a gap of 3 to 4 weeks, and the price of export is high. The expected purchasing price of the first shipment is expected to be 10 ~ 14 yuan/kg. The expected price of the domestic market is 5.2 ~ 9.2 yuan/kg. In the new season, the farmers are willing to sell as the Huangguan pears start to list. They have little benefit from self-storage pears. Judging from the current situation, the production and sales trend of the new season will not be great.
Source: Zhenhua talks about pear