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USDA Florida citrus forecast May

Florida grapefruit production down 2%, orange production unchanged

Florida all orange and non-Valencia production is unchanged from as is Valencia production. Grapefruit production is down 2 percent and tangerine and Tangelo is down 5 percent

All Oranges 51.7 Million Boxes
The 2020-2021 Florida all orange forecast released today by the USDA Agricultural Statistics Board is unchanged at 51.7 million
boxes. If realized, this will be 23 percent less than last season’s revised final production. The forecast consists of 22.7 million boxes of
non-Valencia oranges (early, mid-season, and Navel varieties) and 29.0 million boxes of Valencia oranges.

Non-Valencia Oranges 22.7 Million Boxes
The forecast of non-Valencia orange production is finalized at 22.7 million boxes. Harvest is complete for the included varieties. The
Navel forecast, included in the non-Valencia portion of the forecast, is 580,000 boxes, 3 percent of the non-Valencia total.

Valencia Oranges 29.0 Million Boxes
The forecast of Valencia orange production is unchanged at 29.0 million boxes. Weekly certifications in April averaged 2.58 million
boxes. The Row Count survey conducted April 28-29, 2021 indicated 85 percent of the Valencia rows are harvested. Estimated
utilization to May 1, including an allocation for other use, is 24.0 million boxes. Processors were surveyed regarding fruit processed
through April 30th and the estimated quantity remaining to be processed to the end of the season. Analysis of estimated utilization to
the first of the month, and results of the processors report support holding the Valencia orange forecast.

All Grapefruit 4.20 Million Boxes
The forecast of all grapefruit production is 4.20 million boxes. The white grapefruit forecast is unchanged at 700,000 boxes. The red
grapefruit forecast is lowered 100,000 boxes to 3.50 million boxes. Estimated utilization to May 1, with an allocation for non certified
use, of white grapefruit is 620,000 boxes and of red grapefruit is 3.48 million boxes. The Row Count survey conducted April 28-29, 2021, indicated harvest is relatively complete for these varieties.

Tangerines and Tangelos 900,000 Boxes
The forecast for tangerines and tangelos is lowered 50,000 boxes to 900,000 boxes. Harvest of tangerines and tangelos is relatively
over for the season. Utilization to May 1, with an allocation for non-certified fruit, is 890,000 boxes. This forecast number includes all
certified tangerine and tangelo varieties.

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