Thailand seems to be set to become the world's largest durian producer over the next five years. However, experts warned on Wednesday that the nation is at risk of losing out to neighbouring exporters of the fruit.
Given the growth in durian-producing areas in the country in the past decade -a 30% rise- durian production is predicted to rise by 83% from 2021-2025, said Aat Pisanwanich, director of the Centre for International Trade Studies at the University of the Thai Chamber of Commerce.
The average annual amount of durian produced from 2021-25 is tipped to be 2.02 million tonnes, compared to 1.11 million tonnes last year. That will be the largest amount of durian production in the world. At present, Thailand is second after Indonesia which produces the world's largest volume at 1.20 million tonnes of durian per year.
The quantity of durian production in Thailand rose by 6,000 tonnes per year between 2011 and 2016, Aat said. As such, the world's durian exports are forecast to rise by 134.5% to 1.8 million tonnes by 2025, compared to a 48.3% rise in 2020.