The 2020-2021 orange crop forecast update for the São Paulo and West-Southwest Minas Gerais citrus belt is 269.36 million boxes
of 40.8 kg each. The first forecast update, published in September, already showed a drop as compared to the initial projection, but
the expected production was significantly hindered by late rainfall in the spring and intense heat.
In this second forecast update, a decrease of 18.40 million boxes represents a drop of 6.39% in relation to the initial forecast. Should this new projection hold true until harvest ends, it will result in the largest crop loss for the citrus belt since the beginning of the historical series in 1988-1989 and a downturn of 30.36% in comparison to the previous crop season. Approximately 19.35 million boxes of the total crop should be produced in West Minas Gerais.
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