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USDA GAIN report

Warm temperatures and below-average rainfall cut Brazilian orange production

The Brazilian orange crop for MY 2019/20 is forecast at 370 million 40.8-kg boxes (MBx), equal to 15.1 mmt, a decrease of 22 percent relative to the current season, due to weather-related problems (warm
temperatures and below-average rainfall after the first two blossoming periods in Sao Paulo state).

The current Brazilian orange crop estimate was revised downward from 494 to 475 MBx (20.15 to 19.38 mmt) mainly due to smaller fruit size and above-average fruit drop rates in Sao Paulo and western Minas Gerais. Total Brazilian FCOJ 65 Brix equivalent exports for MY 2019/20 are forecast at 935,000 mt, a drop of 345,000 mt versus MY 2018/19 due to expected lower availability of oranges for crushing in the upcoming season. Orange juice exports to the U.S. are likely to drop with the recovery of the orange crop in Florida.

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