USDA Citrus forecast

Florida all orange forecast 2018-2019: 76.5 million boxes

The 2018-2019 Florida all orange forecast released today by the USDA Agricultural Statistics Board is 76.5 million boxes, down slightly from the March forecast. The total includes of 30.5 million boxes of non-Valencia oranges (early, midseason, and Navel varieties) and 46.0 million boxes of Valencia oranges.

The forecast of non-Valencia production is 30.5 million boxes, down 500,000 boxes from the March forecast. The Row Count survey conducted March 27-28, 2019, showed 98 percent of the early-midseason rows are harvested. Estimated utilization for non-Valencia oranges to April 1, with an allocation for non-certified fruit, is 30.4 million boxes. The Navel forecast, included in the non-Valencia portion of the forecast, remains at 750 thousand boxes.

The forecast of Valencia production is unchanged at 46.0 million boxes. Final fruit size is below the minimum, requiring 265 pieces to fill a 90-pound box. Final droppage is above average. The Row Count survey conducted March 27-28, 2019 showed 27 percent of the Valencia rows are harvested. Estimated utilization for Valencia oranges to April 1, with an allocation for non-certified fruit, is 11.4 million boxes.

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