The United Kingdom is the eighth largest market for bananas and the fourth biggest one in the European Union, so the producing countries are concerned about the possible departure of the United Kingdom from the European Union and the impact that this measure would have on future exports.
No matter what the final political situation of the United Kingdom is, Central America must negotiate an agreement with the UK so that its products can continue to access it and the safest option is to maintain the current conditions, stated consult Velia Govaere Vicarioli.
According to the consultant, the best thing would be if he UK had a new referendum to see if it stays in the EU because the data indicates that, even though young people voted massively to stay, they were also the group of people who abstained the most in the Brexit consultation of the June 23, 2016, and are now more interested in the matter. If there is a new call to the polls, juvenile abstention would decrease and they could change the trend.
Govaere considers it unfortunate that the British chose to leave the EU and believes that they will not get better commercial conditions being outside that big customs union.
A sign of hope, she said, is that in the recent elections to the European Parliament, the Eurosceptics, who were expected to get 35% of the seats, only achieved 25%.
According to the consultant, there are three possible scenarios for the UK: that the British Parliament approves the so-called May agreement for a soft-Brexit; a call for a new referendum; or a hard- Brexit, which would be the worst case scenario.
Govaere said that the United Kingdom should create a new trade policy with the other countries "from scratch" and that the Central American banana countries which are united to the EU by an Association Agreement, should negotiate a new agreement.