With the majority of the harvest now complete, Post expects Morocco’s citrus production for MY 2018/19 to reach an estimated 2.6 million metric tons, increasing 18 percent over the previous marketing year. Tangerine/mandarin production should increase by 14 percent over the previous year to 1.35 MMT, while orange production should increase by 18 percent to 1.2 MMT and lemon/lime production to reach 45,000 MT. Much of the increase in production is due to favorable weather conditions and increases in the area harvested as younger trees begin to bear fruit. Tangerine/mandarin exports should total about 585,000 MT while orange exports should reach around 190,000 MT.
Consumption: Post forecasts tangerine/mandarin domestic consumption at 765,000 MT in MY2018/19, an increase of 18 percent over 2017/18 to more closely follow per capita consumption trends. Post also updates MY 2017/18 fresh domestic consumption reflecting remaining available supply in the balance sheet after accounting for year-end trade data.
Trade: Post projects tangerine/mandarin exports for MY 2018/19 to reach 585,000 MT, 9 percent more than MY 2017/18 due to increased supplies. Russia and the European Union remain Morocco’s primary export destinations. Post also updates MY17/18 exports based on year end trade data. Exports to the United States increased by 30%, aided by regained market access for Morocco’s Berkane region.