The introduction of a 50% tariff by the U.S. is likely to influence Brazilian fruit exports, particularly affecting mango shipments from the São Francisco Valley region. Mango producers from this area, encompassing regions in Pernambuco and Bahia, have halted shipment negotiations initially set for August, which had the potential to amass over US$50 million in trade. Projections suggest a possible 70% reduction in export volumes by 2025 if the tariffs proceed. European markets might also be impacted.
"There hadn't been any shipments at this moment to the U.S. yet. Mango season was just about to ramp up, but everything is on stand-by—everyone stopped. It's not in containers yet, but sales have been suspended," remarked Luiz Roberto Barcelos, co-founder of Agrícola Famosa. The company exports melons and is less reliant on the American market.
In 2024, Brazilian fruit exports to the U.S. reached US$148 million, with mangoes being a substantial part. For 2025, a shipping expectation of 48,000 tonnes was set. The mango export window to the U.S. aligns with the Mexican off-season, facilitating Brazilian dominance from mid-August to mid-November. However, the planned shipment of 12 million mango boxes is now uncertain due to impending tariffs.
Gilmar Mello, director of Amazon Network, referred to the tariffs as "force majeure," with contracts currently on hold. He commented, "If confirmed, we'll need to inform our clients, supermarkets that plan well in advance, that this happened and that we likely won't be able to supply them."
With the tariffs, mango exports might drop significantly. Mello noted, "A tariff of this magnitude would drastically reduce Brazilian mango volumes by around 70%." This is compounded by an existing 10% tariff, expected to rise to 60%. He concluded, "It will impact the start of the harvest if it's not resolved within 10 days."
Commercial director Paulo Dantas of Agrodan noted impacts on the European market. "It could flood the European market and crash prices," he commented.
Guilherme Coelho, chair of Abrafrutas, emphasized the existing trade relationship with the U.S., advocating for a resolution to maintain a "win-win" business model, stressing the value this partnership brings to American consumers.
Source: DatamarNews
