"We have to wait and see what impact this will have, and whether counter restrictions, are to be expected," says Inge Ribbens of Frugi Venta. "Until now, fruits and vegetables are still exported. Potatoes have an import ban, but the sector isn’t affected yet.” Arjan Zoutewelle of the same import and export company, sees tensions rise. "I noticed that the sector, say forty percent of it, is nervous, and that there is uncertainty about the devaluation of the ruble. In the long run, a low ruble is not good for business. In Russia, imported products are therefore more expensive."
Political motives
If there is a threat to domestic crops or human health, boundaries are often closed, but there may also be a political agenda behind a boycott. In February, Romain Cools of Belgapom suspected a political agenda behind the potato import ban on Russia. He then said: "Russia is not only closed to the potato and the seed potato sector, but now European pork is no longer allowed in. The Russians found an alternative with American pork, which increasingly seems to point to a political motive.”
Exports to Russia mainly consists of products such as machinery, chemicals and processed products. About eight percent of exports consist of food and live animals. Fresh produce makes up the biggest part. In general, a boycott of European fruit and vegetables to Russia may be more problematic than in Europe, expects Arjan Zoutewelle. The world can’t always meet Russian demand. It also depends on the countries and products that fall under a boycott. More worrying is when the Russian border is closed and there is a good harvest in Europe. "If there is a boycott, we better not have over-production in Europe, because then we really need Russia to buy our production peaks.”