Total citrus production in Mexico across oranges, lemons/limes, and grapefruit is expected to decline in market year (MY) 2022/23 due to challenges such as damage to trees from increasingly severe weather conditions over multiple seasons, particularly in Northeastern producing states, and the rising costs of inputs and logistics for producers that is pressuring yields downward.
Production
Forecasted orange production for MY 2022/23 is at 4.2 million metric tons (MMT), 9 percent lower than the previous MY due to prolonged drought in northeastern Mexico that affected most severely the states of Tamaulipas and Nuevo Leon. Areas of Veracruz and San Luis Potosi also experienced prolonged drought and abnormally high temperatures.
Mexico’s MY 2021/22 orange production is estimated at 4.6 MMT based on available data. This represents a 1 percent decrease from MY 2020/21 as adverse climate change effects, lack of water, and high temperatures impacted major orange producing states. Based on Post estimates for Mexico and USDA official data for MY 2021/22, Mexico is estimated to be the fifth-largest orange producer in the world behind Brazil, China, India, and the United States.
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Source: fas.usda.gov