The international trade game board has been shaken by Trump's tariff hike, coupled with instability in the Red Sea region, and the pervasive effects of climate change.
Logistics is working to overcome unexpected events and must become more sustainable. There is a growing focus on local produce, which does not face the issues of overseas logistics. One example is the fruit from the Pacific, which has to cross the Panama Canal, whose operation is now delayed due to the effects of drought.
The port of Rotterdam has always been a favorite entry point for fresh produce. However, an increase in citrus shipments to Europe due to the U.S. tariff hike could affect the port's normal traffic. Valencia's kaki and citrus exports are decreasing because pressure from third countries lowers prices, making it harder for farmers to profit.
The sudden rise in U.S. tariffs has thrown exporters off balance because agreements are signed several months in advance, and the tariff hike could lead to the end of many of these agreements. Goods may be redirected to the port of Rotterdam, causing a delay in the port's normal activity.
The Suez Canal is a strategic passage for international trade. After the Evergreen accident, normality was restored. However, pirate attacks have sharply decreased traffic and caused significant loss of profit for Egypt. As an alternative, shipping lines have taken the route via the Cape of Good Hope. However, this is not a sustainable solution as it increases transit times by two weeks.
The ups and downs of geopolitics and economics have a significant impact on maritime traffic, leading to increased freight rates as carriers try to offset the effects and maintain quality service. However, there are signs of a shift toward more freight being transported by train instead of trucks, supported by the Mediterranean corridor, and a push to locally grow fruits that are currently imported. Examples of this are the avocados grown in Malaga, pitaya in Murcia, and kiwi in Galicia.