Canada's pea sector observes a development as India extends duty-free access for yellow peas through March 31, 2026, beyond the initial deadline of May 31. Greg Cherewyk, president of Pulse Canada, acknowledges the timing amid challenges in China, hoping India's market compensates for reduced sales to China.
In a recent policy response, China imposed hefty tariffs on various Canadian products, effectively limiting access to a major pea market. Analysts at the Global Pulse Confederation's Pulses 2025 conference anticipate India's importation of 1.2 to 2 million tons of peas in 2025-26. Cherewyk believes Canada could dominate this market segment as Russia diverts its exports to China. Agriculture Canada projects 3.13 million tons in production, with 1.3 million tons destined for export. Conference traders estimate Russia's output at four to 4.5 million tons, with China likely to import 2.1 million tons, utilizing most of Russia's exports.
The new Indian import policy's time frame facilitates Canadian exports, assuring compliance with India's March 31, 2026, shipping deadline. India's policy developments are noted for providing long-term operational clarity. During the conference, there was mention of yellow peas transitioning from a desi chickpea substitute to a staple within India's low-income diet segment. Concurrently, the Canadian agriculture sector seeks resolution over China's tariff issues. "We're still confident that we're going to see some progress on the China front," added Cherewyk.
However, India's move did not resonate well across all sectors. Vivek Agrawal of JLV Agro commented on market saturation and potential price declines in India following the announcement. The India Pulses and Grains Association pushed for a 50 per cent import duty to align prices with chickpea market conditions. The Indian government reports 11.34 million tons of chickpeas for 2024-25, below the five-year average, influencing decisions on yellow pea imports. Upcoming agricultural performance may hinge on favorable monsoon conditions, with the Indian Meteorological Department forecasting an above-normal 2025 southwest monsoon.
In parallel, there are notable remarks regarding lentil markets, particularly from Turkey. The Turkish Statistical Institute predicts a reduction in red lentil production to 340,000 tons, with dry conditions cited by Tuba Memis of Memisoglu Group affecting yields significantly. Cherewyk acknowledges that lentil market dynamics will involve production in Canada, Australia, and the Black Sea area. Agriculture Canada forecasts lentil production at 2.33 million tons, while Australia and the Black Sea region could contribute 1.6 million tons and 800,000 tons, respectively.
Source: The Western Producer