This short-term market outlook is driven by the negative impact of the
hot and dry weather that affected large parts of the EU, by the impact
of the Russian invasion of Ukraine on energy prices, leading to
concerns about inputs costs and their supply and future crop
conditions, and by food price inflation, likely to also impact EU
consumer decisions.
2022/23 EU consumption of fresh apples is expected to go slightly down to 12 kg per capita, mainly due to a rising inflation pressure and a general reduction in fresh fruit consumption. The higher electricity price, the high production in PL and the expected lower quality should increase the share of usable apple production used in processing.
EU orange production is expected to decline in 2022/23 to one of the lowest levels since 2015/16, due to adverse weather conditions particularly in ES. Despite the low orange production and expected higher prices, the amount for fresh consumption could decrease less than that for processing.
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Source: agriculture.ec.europa.eu