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2022-2023 forecast for São Paulo and West-Southwest Minas Gerais citrus belt

Orange crop forecast at 316.95 million boxes

The 2022-2023 orange crop forecast for the São Paulo and West-Southwest Minas Gerais citrus belt, published on May 26, 2022 by Fundecitrus in cooperation with Markestrat, FEA-RP/USP and FCAV/Unesp, is 316.95 million boxes (40.8 kg). Total orange production includes:

  • 59.48 million boxes of the Hamlin, Westin and Rubi varieties;
  • 17.52 million boxes of the Valencia Americana, Seleta, Pineapple and BRS Alvorada;
  • 93.95 million boxes of the Pera Rio variety;
  • 106.78 million boxes of the Valencia and Valencia Folha Murcha varieties;
  • 39.22 million boxes of the Natal variety.

Approximately 22.99 million boxes are expected to be produced in the Triângulo Mineiro. The  projected volume is 20.53% higher than the previous crop that totaled 262.97 million boxes and represents an increase of 1.11% in relation to last ten years’ average.

The prospect of a better crop indicates that, in general, groves could recover from adverse weather including the drought and frost that took place in 2020 and 2021 and caused two consecutive small crops, resulting in a discontinued biennial bearing cycle characterized by the yearly alternation of large and small crops. If the new production expectation holds, a change from negative to positive biennial production will eventually be observed.


Click here to view the full report.


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