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Arizona State University professor:

‘Deporting undocumented workers would have huge cost impact’

A plate of beautiful vegetables on your table is the result of a complicated matrix of farm labor, wages, costs and consumer prices. The growers who produce those vegetables have been sounding the alarm in recent years, saying that the lack of farm labor is cutting into their livelihoods and leaving crops unharvested in the fields.

An Arizona State University professor has been examining the issue of farm labor and how immigration policy could affect how much you pay for those vegetables. The research is so important that now the U.S. Department of Agriculture has given Timothy Richards, a professor in the W. P. Carey School of Business, a two-year grant to delve deeper. He’ll be working with colleagues at Cal Poly and Cornell universities.

“The Western Growers Association approached me a few years ago to look into the problem of how they could get more temporary workers to work on their farms, mainly during harvesting season but also some jobs year-round,” said Richards. “The growers reported that they were leaving substantial amounts of crops in the field because they couldn’t get enough workers.”

The labor problem is severe, particularly in California, which on March 31 celebrates the birthday of Cesar Chavez, an activist who drew attention to the plight of farmworkers in the 1960s and '70s.

Recent surveys show:
• Nearly 70 percent of farmers surveyed by the California Farm Bureau Federation reported labor shortages in 2017, with the most severe shortages among growers of tree fruit and wine grapes. About 15 percent said they could hire fewer than half the workers needed.

• In response to the labor shortfall, half the growers increased wages, benefits and incentives to both attract and retain workers. One-third of the growers had to forgo labor-intensive management of their crops, such as pruning. About 9 percent reported leaving crops to rot unharvested in the fields.

• Nearly two-thirds of the growers hire their farm laborers directly, and about half the workers are undocumented. Fewer than 3 percent of growers use the H2A agricultural immigration program due to high cost and bureaucratic difficulties.

• Americans don’t want to do farm labor. A national survey by the National Council of Agricultural Employers conducted in 2010, during the recession, found that 68 percent of unemployed people who were referred to farm labor jobs rejected those jobs. Of those who took the jobs, only 5 percent worked through the contract period.

Richards: “Our data set will include 35,000 workers from 1989 to 2014 who were asked everything about their experiences working on farms.” His preliminary research looked at a hypothetical situation: “If we kick all the undocumented people out in our survey, what would happen to wages? What I found is, if growers had to raise wages enough to hire people, wages would have to increase by about 46 percent.”

With apples and peaches, about 80 percent of the production cost is labor for harvesting.

“So if you increase that 80 percent by 50 percent, you get a 40 percent increase in cost and American consumers don’t like paying more for food,” he said. “We’ll be importing more from Mexico, and there will be a lot more incentive to have people come illegally because of the higher wages.”

But, as explained on¸ the dynamics of farm labor are very complicated, due partly to human behavior.


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