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Overview French tomato market 2017 FranceAgriMer:

“Purchases of tomatoes per household decreased by nearly 7%”

In 2017, the French tomato market experienced a dynamic spring followed by a dull summer, which reveals a consumption in full evolution. Despite the decline in domestic production and imports, the 2017 tomato season was only average in terms of prices. After a favourable start to the season, the abundant supply of other fruits and vegetables (melons in particular), and the harvest from allotment gardens in the summer, have in fact competed with the sales of tomatoes. This disappointing record also reflects the change in purchasing behaviour, abandoning (round) varieties for "mass consumption" for the benefit of the well appreciated "tasty" varieties, which are being planted right now. In 2017, the gap widened between these two segments. 

Production drops in Brittany while Southwest continues its momentum
At the national level, the harvest is estimated to have decreased by 9%, as a result of the production drop in western France (-22%); the primary production basin. The Southeast retains its ranking in second place with a stable tonnage. In third place, the Midwest maintains its surfaces but yields fell by 6%. In fourth place, the South-West continues its momentum, with a rise of 6% in 2017. In this basin, the increase reached 28% over five years, which means it was the only one progressing over this period, including new, high-performance, state-of-the-art production units.
 
Import in decline
Over the whole of the season, imported tonnages have been at their lowest in five years (-6% compared to the five year average). The contribution of Spain to this is down by 13%, compared to last year, and that of other countries by 16%.The situation in the French market this year seemed much less defined by the pressure of imports, especially during the spring.
 
Declining purchases of tomatoes: an effect of the melon crisis, as well as competition from allotment gardens?
Over the 2017 season, the amount of purchases of tomatoes per household, from January to October, decreased by nearly 7% compared to 2016, and the average of the last five years (source: FranceAgriMer, according to Kantar Worldpanel). This decrease is noticeable over the entire period, with the exception of mid-May to mid-July. According to market observers, this is the result of a shift in consumption of other species, such as melon and cucumber, during the summer, which are strongly represented this year, or because of alternative sources of supply, such as short circuits and allotment gardens. According to industry professionals, melons, the foremost competitor of tomatoes on the shelves, with abundant supply and low prices throughout the summer, has undoubtedly impacted tomato consumption.

As for allotment gardens; they are systematically assigned to the participants in the sector, acting as the main competitors to the flow of professional tomato production throughout the summer, until September; even though the summer of 2017 was the second warmest since 1900 (source: Météo-France), temperatures are favourable for the regular consumption of tomatoes. the season was disappointing: with a declining domestic production, and Belgian and Dutch competitors are particularly absent from the markets this year. - This hypothesis is derived from the insufficient flow of production in July and August.

14 days of economic crisis
Three episodes of crises particularly stand out this year: July 5th to 11th, August 2nd to 4th, and September 12th to 18th. The total number of crisis days is 14 days in 2017 (15 in 2016).


Over the period April - October, in the heart of the countryside of the two regions, the elongated, the 57, the cluster, and the cherry are lower, compared to the two previous years. The Marmande and the elongated heart are positioned above the last two years.

Seasonal development 

March: A balanced market across the entire range
Production is gradually growing in all regions throughout the month. The weather and the competitive environment are favourable for consumption: the prices of Spanish and Moroccan products are higher than in 2016. Many promotional actions, on the cluster in particular, facilitate the penetration of the French product, which quickly reaches 100% presence on the shelves. With quantities higher than March 2016, and a more outstanding varietal segmentation, greenhouse tomato growers both on-ground and off-ground are reassured.

April: A dynamic Easter weekend
The competitive context is always favourable. Spanish and Moroccan offers are measured. Breton productions arrive on the market, and increase in line with demand; the weather stimulates consumption. Major retailers link highlights and promotions; the Easter holidays accentuate this conjuncture, which is illustrated by a surge in prices. The post-Easter market isn’t crowded, but the weather is deteriorating, and the supply is progressing logically, especially in the western basins.

May: Supply is growing, consumption is slowing, berries are suffering
Supply is increasing, with the arrival of production in all regions. The cool weather of May doesn’t allow for the development of consumption. Prices are sustained for a time by promotional operations, but do not reflect the reality of consumption. Three disruptive holidays increase the pressure of inventory carryovers: The quantities available throughout France are doubling, and prices are dropping by 50%, and that’s how the west becomes the primary supplier. Cherry tomatoes, one of the most important varieties in terms of turnover in Brittany, are priced well below the five-year averages, and this will remain the case throughout the season.

June: A contrasting, but rewarding June
Supply is in balance with demand, during three quarters of the month. Good weather, covering the north to the south of Europe in week 25, boosts consumption and has prices soaring. Southeast productions are at full-field level, and the west continues to grow. In terms of prices, the result of the month is good for ribbed tomatoes, coloured tomatoes, and tomatoes “of taste”, particularly focusing on the traditional round and elongated varieties. It is always unsettling among the small fruits.

July: Conjunctural crisis
The national supply, mainly made up of productions from the west of France, is confronted with weather unfavourable for consumption in the northern part of France. Prices are declining, and FranceAgriMer declares a product crisis from July 5th to 11th. While some parts of southern France are more price-resilient thanks to local demand, the price levels are below the five-year average for the entire range.

August: One of the worst
It was one of the worst Augusts for a long time for this type of market; The competition of allotment gardens is referred to by most operators. The large supply at the end of July, together with a moderate demand, puts the prices at low levels. From August 2nd to 4th, the tomato is yet again declared by FranceAgriMer to be in a conjunctural crisis.

In the following weeks, the decline in quantities in the two major production areas of the West and the Southeast rebalances the market a little. The courses are gradually recover partly over the range.

September: Average prices and a disappointing demand
The national supply is shrinking; especially in the Southeast. Despite some scheduled operations, the tomato trade is hit by a demand below its supply. In the West, clearance actions to third world countries allow for a flux of quantities produced, especially bulk.

The courses are frequently lower than the five-year references, with an episode of economic crisis from 12 to 18 September. Prices are strengthening over the last decade in the round and cluster varieties, the heart of the community’s market. At the same time, the price of cherry tomatoes dropped to its lowest levels in the countryside.

October: Export only positive point
Despite recurrent programmed operations, a fledgling foreign competition and a dynamic export, the national tomato trade is sluggish, and hit by by a lack of active consumption. Both cluster and cherry tomatoes are only just at the five-year average. In the South, the campaign ends in the middle of the month, with the complete end of cultivation under cold frames.

November: Satisfying prices at last
Supply is halved in the West, and down to 33% in the Southwest. These two basins are the last remaining areas in the countryside. Prices go back up rationally, and reach the five-year average for cluster tomatoes, and exceed the average for cherry tomatoes. The market is finally stable, but this still doesn’t make for much change in the season's records, considering how bad certain segments were.

From one season to another

Average course of cluster tomato by campaign
Brittany - shipment stage - cat. extra


Prices reached in Brittany in 2017 are lower than the five-year average

Beef Tomato Commercial Scale
Amount at 30/11, anually, per ton


Imports and exports are growing slightly. The delta between the two diminishes a little. Keep in mind that some of the imports are re-exported to other countries. 

The supply of three main production basins in Brittany, and the course of the cluster tomato at their shipment stages


June is the busiest month, with relatively high prices; this underlines a fairly strong demand over this period. In the following months, despite a lower supply of all the basins, prices declined in July, and only partially recovered in August and September. It will be necessary to wait until October to observe a real recovery of courses, compared to the decline of availability since July.

The three regions and basins, ranked according to the amount in which they declined, are: Brittany, Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur, and the South-West basin.

For more information: 
FranceAgriMer
Director of publications: Christine Avelin
Composition: RNM Bordeaux (Nina Riaux)
Editor: Frédéric Chiron
Centre d’Avignon: 00334.13.39.31.00
Centre de St Pol de Léon: 00332.98.69.18.93




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